NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018 odds and picks: Advanced model locks in surprising predictions for GoBowling at The Glen

After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018, which conducts Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It’s the second road course race of the year and Denny Hamlin, listed at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen chances, won the pole on Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road wins, including two in Watkins Glen, but his final win in The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling in The Glen last year and is recorded at 4-1 odds. Prior to making any 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen choices, you need to find out what SportsLine’s innovative computer model must say.

The model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has an established track record in multiple sports. In addition, it forces McClure’s DFS projections, which have led him to over $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big racing events in this way are in his blood, and his version has been crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has already made several huge calls this year, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick at the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 also as Harvick’s win at the KC Masterpiece 400. In addition, it pinpointed five of the top 10 in Bristol and a couple of the top five at Daytona, just to mention a couple. Anyone following its picks this season is way, way up.

Now the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen area is secured, SportsLine simulated the occasion 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

One sudden pick from the model for GoBowling at The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, getting the third-best NASCAR at Watkins Glen chances to win at 6-1, does not sniff the top 10. He’s a driver to avoid on Sunday despite his stellar beginning position of third.

Elliott remains in search of his first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series win. He’s cracked the top 10 in four of the past seven starts, but was just 19th in Chicago and 34th in Daytona last month. Last year in Watkins Glen, Elliott again started close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest speed (124.520 mph) in the final practices for GoBowling at The Glen 2018, but the model says he’s a popular to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., getting the second-best odds at 4-1, doesn’t even finish in the top five.

He has had plenty of success on street tracks, including winning last year. But he’s a risky pick at these odds because he’s got an average finish position of 12th in Watkins Glen in his career, and it has completed 10th or worse in three of the past six races here. There are better values out there within this Go Bowling at The Glen area.

Rather, the version is targeting two huge underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 that are poised to make a serious run in the checkered flag, including a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on these underdogs could hit it rich.

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